日本央行據稱可能考慮下調本財年經濟成長和通膨預測

【彭博】-- 根據知情人士稱透露，日本央行可能會在本月晚些時候的季度展望報告中考慮下調本財年的成長預測，並上調下一年的預測。

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知情人士稱，央行需要考慮夏季時新冠病毒感染激增造成的經濟影響--當時導致夏季消費支出降溫並導致緊急狀態延長。他們說，日本汽車製造商由於供應制約而進行的生產調整，也需要考慮在內。

知情人士稱，該行還可能考慮將截至3月的一年的通膨率預期從0.6％，大幅下調至接近0，以反映消費者價格指數的基準變化。

該行將在10月28日為期兩天的會議結束時發布季度報告。該行在7月展望報告中預計2021財年成長3.8％，次年成長2.7％。

他們說，經濟復甦延遲和通膨預測下調，不足以促使該行進一步放鬆政策。鑒於緊急狀態本月解除，只要疫情被遏制，經濟應該會逐步回暖，他們說。

知情人士稱，通膨預測的下調主要是出於技術原因，官員們仍然認為，一旦排除臨時因素，潛在的價格趨勢有力或略強於預期。

原文標題BOJ Is Said to Consider Adjusting Growth, Price Forecasts

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