伴隨美債殖利率上升 利率掉期顯示聯儲會明年6月加息機率料為50%

【彭博】-- 美國利率交易員對聯儲會明年6月加息25個基點的預期機率上升至近50%。

Most Read from Bloomberg

• Google’s Biggest Moonshot Is Its Search for a Carbon-Free Future

• The Biggest Public Graveyard in the U.S. Is Becoming a Park

• Why Buying a Second or Even Third Home Is Becoming More Popular Than Ever

• Google’s CEO: ‘We’re Losing Time’ in the Climate Fight

• Out-of-Practice Airline Pilots Are Making Errors Back in the Air

利率掉期顯示，市場預測聯儲會明年6月會議加息12個基點左右。預期9月加息25個基點的機率為百分百，然後不晚於2023年2月第二次加息。

與此同時，2年期美國國債殖利率周五一度上升4個基點，自2020年3月以來首次突破0.40%。歐洲美元期貨交易中，利率一度上漲10個基點，也反映出對聯儲會加息的預期升溫。在數據顯示9月零售銷售增幅超過預期後，上述走勢加快。

原文標題Fed Rate Hike in June Has Become a Coin Flip as Yields Climb

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

• How Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and Gwyneth Paltrow Short-Circuit Your Ability to Think Rationally

• These Out-of-Work Americans Tell Us Job Market Turmoil Is Anything But Transitory

• What My Brain Scan Revealed About the Science of Persuasion

• Jane Fraser Has a Plan to Remake Citigroup While Tormenting Rivals

• MLB Is Testing Ways to Fix Baseball’s Boredom Problem

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.