FedEx Corporation (FDX): Is this Logistics Giant a Good Buy Right Now?

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Logistics Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) stands against the other logistics stocks. You can also check out the 20 Biggest Logistics Companies in the US here.

The logistics industry is experiencing major developments, which bring both risks and opportunities. These changes are being driven by new technology, more competitors, changing customer expectations, and new business models. The global logistics market was valued at nearly $2.6 trillion in 2022. The market is projected to grow to $4.5 trillion by 2027, expanding at a compound annual growth rate of 11.5%.

Meanwhile, the US Freight and Logistics Market is predicted to reach a value of $1.67 trillion by 2030. The domestic market is seeing expansion due to an increase in e-commerce trade within the country. The e-commerce sector saw a growth of over 14% year-over-year in 2023 to reach $925 billion. The number of e-commerce users is predicted to increase from 264.5 million in 2021 to 289.9 million by 2027. There is rising demand for logistical services particularly among online retailers that do not operate physical stores and rely heavily on third-party warehousing.

Technology is reshaping how logistics companies function. Those who succeed will be the ones who can effectively use new technologies like data analytics and platform solutions. Data analytics is considered significantly more important in the transportation and logistics (T&L) sector over the next five years compared to other industries. Around 90% of experts in T&L prioritize these aspects, higher than the average of 83% seen across other sectors.

The potential for growth is high, yet the logistics industry has been slow to capitalize on it. According to a report by PWC, only 28% of T&L companies consider themselves 'advanced' in digitization. In comparison, 41% of automotive companies and 45% of electronics companies already view themselves as advanced. The main hurdle for transportation and logistics firms lies in developing a 'digital culture' and providing good training.

The majority of newcomers in the logistics sector are startups, and many of them aim to use new technology to establish their presence in the industry. So far, most of these startups operate in asset-light segments of the value chain, such as virtual freight forwarding. Private equity flows in digital logistics startups since 2011 have surpassed $150 million, whereas funding from legacy logistics companies is less than $10 million.

Our Methodology

To shortlist the best logistics stocks, we relied on Insider Monkey’s database of 920 hedge funds as of Q1 2024 to analyze the hedge fund sentiment for each stock. We picked the logistics stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A driver unloading packages from a van for a time-critical delivery.

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 56

Value of Hedge Fund Holdings: $2,095,581,000

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) is a multinational holding company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee. The company specializes in transportation, e-commerce, and business services.

In the first quarter of 2024, FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) reported earnings per share of $3.86, which was 10.95% higher than the estimates. Moreover, the net profit margin was 4.04%, marking a 16.09% year-over-year increase. The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 2.18%.

FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) has received an average price target of $308.7 from analysts. This reflects an upside potential of over 20%. Furthermore, 8 analysts have rated the stock a “Strong Buy,” while 13 have given a “Buy” rating to FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX).

Here’s what Longleaf Partners said about FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) in its Q1 2024 investor letter:

“FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) – Global logistics company FedEx performed well for the period. The company beat consensus estimates in the quarter and showed material progress in its DRIVE cost reduction program that we have written about previously. FedEx also repurchased substantial stock in the quarter. Its 6% annualized repurchase pace is very strong compared to its history, and the company authorized another $5 billion share repurchase program. FedEx also lowered capital expenditures guidance for the fiscal year, further helping FCF generation. We believe the company is approximately halfway through its cost cutting program with more room to go that is still not appreciated by the market.”

As of Q1 2024, 56 hedge funds reported owning a stake in FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX), making it one of the best logistics stocks to buy now.

Overall FDX ranks 3rd on our list of the best logistics stocks to buy. You can visit 10 Best Logistics Stocks to Buy Now to see the other logistics stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of FDX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FDX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

 

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.