What Made Analysts Give Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) a Moderate Buy Rating?

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Logistics Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) stands against the other logistics stocks. You can also check out the 20 Biggest Logistics Companies in the US here.

The logistics industry is experiencing major developments, which bring both risks and opportunities. These changes are being driven by new technology, more competitors, changing customer expectations, and new business models. The global logistics market was valued at nearly $2.6 trillion in 2022. The market is projected to grow to $4.5 trillion by 2027, expanding at a compound annual growth rate of 11.5%.

Meanwhile, the US Freight and Logistics Market is predicted to reach a value of $1.67 trillion by 2030. The domestic market is seeing expansion due to an increase in e-commerce trade within the country. The e-commerce sector saw a growth of over 14% year-over-year in 2023 to reach $925 billion. The number of e-commerce users is predicted to increase from 264.5 million in 2021 to 289.9 million by 2027. There is rising demand for logistical services particularly among online retailers that do not operate physical stores and rely heavily on third-party warehousing.

Technology is reshaping how logistics companies function. Those who succeed will be the ones who can effectively use new technologies like data analytics and platform solutions. Data analytics is considered significantly more important in the transportation and logistics (T&L) sector over the next five years compared to other industries. Around 90% of experts in T&L prioritize these aspects, higher than the average of 83% seen across other sectors.

The potential for growth is high, yet the logistics industry has been slow to capitalize on it. According to a report by PWC, only 28% of T&L companies consider themselves 'advanced' in digitization. In comparison, 41% of automotive companies and 45% of electronics companies already view themselves as advanced. The main hurdle for transportation and logistics firms lies in developing a 'digital culture' and providing good training.

The majority of newcomers in the logistics sector are startups, and many of them aim to use new technology to establish their presence in the industry. So far, most of these startups operate in asset-light segments of the value chain, such as virtual freight forwarding. Private equity flows in digital logistics startups since 2011 have surpassed $150 million, whereas funding from legacy logistics companies is less than $10 million.

Our Methodology

To shortlist the best logistics stocks, we relied on Insider Monkey’s database of 920 hedge funds as of Q1 2024 to analyze the hedge fund sentiment for each stock. We picked the logistics stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A row of semi-trucks, highlighted against an expansive sky.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 39

Value of Hedge Fund Holdings: $729,445,000

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) was founded in 1990. With over 4000 driving associates, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) is one of the largest full truckload companies in North America.

The benefits of the company's diversification continue to be evident, as market conditions in the LTL industry are much more favorable compared to those in Truckload. The LTL business saw a nearly 13% year-over-year revenue growth, excluding fuel charges. Additionally, shipments per day rose by 6%, and revenue per hundredweight, excluding fuel surcharges, recorded a year-over-year increase of 3%.

Analysts have given Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) an average rating of "Moderate Buy." Among the analysts, 6 recommend holding the stock, while 10 suggest buying it. The average target price is $55.94, with estimates ranging from a low of $47 to a high of $72.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) ranks seventh on our list of the best logistics stocks to buy in 2024.

Overall KNX ranks 7th on our list of the best logistics stocks to buy. You can visit 10 Best Logistics Stocks to Buy Now to see the other logistics stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of KNX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than KNX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

 

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.